NFL Week 4 Game Analysis for September 29, 2024
1. New Orleans Saints (2-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-2)
• Spread: Falcons -2.5
• Money Line: Falcons -140, Saints +120
• Analysis: The Falcons have been solid at home this season, and they enter this game with a slight edge on defense, particularly against the run. The Saints’ offense has struggled to maintain consistency, but Derek Carr and their defense are capable of surprising. Despite their issues, Atlanta has the advantage at home, and the Saints’ inconsistencies on offense might prevent them from covering.
• Pick: Falcons -2.5
(Source: Fox Sports, theScore)
2. Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (3-0)
• Spread: Bills -3.5
• Money Line: Bills -175, Ravens +150
• Analysis: This is a highly anticipated showdown between two AFC powerhouses. Buffalo’s offense, led by Josh Allen, has been effective, especially when complemented by James Cook’s run game. However, the Ravens are undefeated and have Lamar Jackson back in MVP form. While the Bills are favored, Baltimore’s home advantage and ability to keep games close, coupled with potential bad weather, make them an enticing underdog bet.
• Pick: Ravens +3.5
(Source: Covers, theScore)
3. Cincinnati Bengals (1-2) at Carolina Panthers (0-3)
• Spread: Bengals -7.5
• Money Line: Bengals -310, Panthers +240
• Analysis: Carolina has been unable to protect rookie quarterback Bryce Young, and their run game has failed to take pressure off him. The Bengals, though slow to start the season, have too much talent on both sides of the ball to lose this matchup. However, Cincinnati’s offensive struggles may make it hard to cover such a wide spread.
• Pick: Panthers +7.5 (Bengals win outright)
(Source: Dimers, Fox Sports)
4. Green Bay Packers (2-1) vs. Minnesota Vikings (2-1)
• Spread: Packers -2.5
• Money Line: Packers -135, Vikings +115
• Analysis: Green Bay has a strong run game, which has been the key to their early success. The Vikings, on the other hand, are led by Sam Darnold, who’s been solid, but the team’s defense against the pass has been vulnerable. This game will likely be close, but with home-field advantage, the Packers should come out on top.
• Pick: Packers -2.5
(Source: Fox Sports, Dimers)
5. Cleveland Browns (1-2) at Las Vegas Raiders (1-2)
• Spread: Browns -3.0
• Money Line: Browns -150, Raiders +130
• Analysis: Both teams have struggled early in the season. The Browns rely on their defense and running back Jerome Ford, while the Raiders, with Gardner Minshew at quarterback, have been inconsistent. The Browns’ defensive prowess gives them a slight edge, but Las Vegas at home should keep this game tight.
• Pick: Raiders +3.0
(Source: theScore, Dimers)
6. Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) at Los Angeles Chargers (2-1)
• Spread: Chiefs -4.5
• Money Line: Chiefs -190, Chargers +160
• Analysis: The Chiefs have been dominant so far, and Patrick Mahomes looks poised to continue his MVP-level play. The Chargers, while offensively potent, have not been able to stop teams defensively, particularly against top-tier quarterbacks. Kansas City should cover the spread and continue their perfect start.
• Pick: Chiefs -4.5
(Source: Dimers, Fox Sports)
7. Seattle Seahawks (3-0) at Detroit Lions (2-1)
• Spread: Seahawks -2.5
• Money Line: Seahawks -135, Lions +115
• Analysis: The Seahawks’ surprising undefeated run has been built on efficient offense and a bend-but-don’t-break defense. The Lions have been inconsistent, particularly on defense, and will have a tough time slowing down Geno Smith. The Seahawks are slight favorites, and they should be able to extend their unbeaten streak.
• Pick: Seahawks -2.5
(Source: Covers, Fox Sports)
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Sources:
• Covers.com: NFL Week 4 Picks
• theScore: Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders
• Fox Sports: Week 4 Game Previews
• Dimers: NFL Week 4 Predictions
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